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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lissartter | sainttroplay | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (3448–3652, n=7100) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) | 41% (1101–1610, n=2711) |
| Consensus PnL | -$181K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $2.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #320 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #410 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (47 of 84 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −10 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 4775 at avg 65¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 30% of 886) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 74% of 491) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 88% of 730) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2668) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lissartter | sainttroplay | RN1 | 0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | — | Yes $3.5K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.1K | — | — | No $3.3K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $834 | — | — | No $815 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $274 | — | — | Yes $348 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $164 | — | — | No $214 |