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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (38–19, n=57) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) |
| Consensus PnL | -$857K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (13 of 24 open) | 89% (146 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=43 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI −8% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 75% of 4) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 55% of 20) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 74% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.