← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (36–19, n=55) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) |
| Consensus PnL | -$862K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 30% (3 of 10 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=43 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI −8% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 75% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 55% of 20) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 74% of 27) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | milkteaboba | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.0K | — | — | No $250K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $63K | — | — | Yes $32K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $979 | — | — | Yes $64K |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | — | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $34K | — | — | No $292K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | — | Yes $170K |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | Yes $24 | — | — | Yes $32K |