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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| milkteaboba | sainttroplay | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (38–19, n=57) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$854K | $4.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #127 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (16 of 26 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 90% (147 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −7 pts, n=43 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI −8% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 2) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 75% of 4) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 55% of 20) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 74% of 27) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.