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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| mombil | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (1083–758, n=1841) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $504K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (47 of 65 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 2120 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 10% of 1032) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 52% of 250) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 70% of 255) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 95% of 583) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | mombil | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19K | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $592 | No $88K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.9K | Yes $38K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $7.4K | Yes $274K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $994 | Yes $28K | — |