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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| mountaindewd | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (288–230, n=518) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $174K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #477 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (26 of 35 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=58 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 520 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 92) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 65% of 98) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 75% of 145) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 95% of 185) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.