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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| mrworldwide | CORGII | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 76% (795–251, n=1046) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $220K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #397 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (39 of 48 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | MLB −4 pts, n=192 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 1075 at avg 67¢, ROI +7% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 9% of 155) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 52% of 113) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 63% of 227) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 97% of 580) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | mrworldwide | CORGII | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $88K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $21 | — | Yes $72K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.4K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $3.7K | — | No $590 | — |