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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1RememberAmalekuprightuserWiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)58% (419–300, n=719)74% (470–167, n=637)no settled market59% (363–253, n=616)
Consensus PnL$4.7M$1.1M—$883K
Tracked asPM monthly #157PM monthly #153was PM monthly #529PM monthly #227
Sides with the consensus70% (57 of 81 open)54% (81 of 149 open)100% (46 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=71Crypto −1 pts, n=10——
Settled positions, side won54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5%—59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 10% of 96)37% (won 10% of 193)—6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 35% of 105)13% (won 67% of 66)—35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 54% of 132)14% (won 88% of 74)—47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 91% of 163)37% (won 99% of 192)—13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1RememberAmalekuprightuserWiretransferxyz
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $20Yes $566—
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27Yes $499—
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13Yes $500—
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $10Yes $380—
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $240—
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $229—
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $220—
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $180—
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2Yes $60—
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2Yes $60—
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1Yes $40—