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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nigiri99BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)45% (5854–7018, n=12872)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$410K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #42PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus37% (39 of 105 open)90% (147 of 164 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won—97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnigiri99BreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.0KYes $274K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $253K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $25KYes $172K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.4KNo $31K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.8KNo $202K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $18KNo $114K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12KYes $83K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.1KYes $85K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $30KYes $33K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $8.7KYes $30K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13KNo $25K