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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188surfandturfbeachboy4joseph00677pleaseplease1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
| nigiri99 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5854–7018, n=12872) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) |
| Consensus PnL | -$409K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 37% (40 of 108 open) | 91% (148 of 163 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.