← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| nigiri99 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5854–7018, n=12872) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (10–10, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | -$409K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #42 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (42 of 110 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=1324 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 10411 at avg 46¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 16% of 2120) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 42% of 3821) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 57% of 3361) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 79% of 1109) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.