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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daa00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.5M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #27was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (37 of 67 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 872)0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2312)0%26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 94% of 4141)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3484)0%24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daa00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $687——Chiefs $465K
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $157——Magic $24K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K——Yes $272K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.8K——Yes $77K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $116——Yes $73K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.9K——Yes $28K