← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14415–14465, n=28880) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 59% of 873) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 86% of 2319) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 94% of 4154) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3497) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | — | Commanders $433 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.0K | Yes $85K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.0K | Yes $30K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Commanders $125 |
| Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura same side · consensus Yanki Erel | Yanki Erel $35 | — | — | Yanki Erel $12K |
| Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Christian Langmo same side · consensus Christian Langmo | Jake Delaney $2 | — | — | Jake Delaney $2.4K |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Raptors $308 | — | — | Raptors $4 |
| Senators vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9 | — | — | Under $99 |