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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14291–14380, n=28671) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (36 of 73 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (16 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 59% of 873) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 86% of 2319) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 94% of 4154) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3497) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $687 | Chiefs $465K | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite | Andre Souza $1.0K | — | — | Wilson Leite $12K |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $36 | — | — | Liam Draxl $5.2K |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris | Jangjun Kim $951 | — | — | Ozan Baris $4.0K |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2 | — | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $116 | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $45 | — | — | Under $9.2K |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $452 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $160 | — | — | Under $30 |