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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14291–14380, n=28671) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (37 of 76 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position | 47% (8 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 59% of 873) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 86% of 2319) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 94% of 4154) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3497) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $687 | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $33 | Magic $76K | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Rams | Chargers $304 | — | — | Rams $1.0K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $116 | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.9K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $70 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| Chargers vs. Rams same side · consensus Rams | Chargers $64 | — | — | Chargers $1.1K |