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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
omnibus-076daaRN1CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$13.4M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #27PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus51% (38 of 74 open)70% (16 of 23 open)25% (1 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 59% of 873)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 86% of 2319)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 94% of 4154)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 3497)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketomnibus-076daaRN1CORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
Heroic $658—B8 $22K—
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
Andre Souza $1.0KWilson Leite $12K——
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
DENDELE CS $256—Imperial $7.9K—
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $36Liam Draxl $5.2K——
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
Jangjun Kim $951Ozan Baris $4.0K——
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
Legacy $54—TheMongolz $2.2K—
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1——
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $45Under $9.2K——
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $452Shunsuke Mitsui $5——
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $160Under $30——