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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| paddaa | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (290–269, n=559) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $211K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (54 of 86 open) | 66% (101 of 153 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=167 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 930 at avg 44¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 9% of 401) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 46% of 148) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 72% of 101) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 94% of 280) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | paddaa | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $190 | — | — | Yes $4.2K |