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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pnhctBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (282–173, n=455)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$5.0K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #683PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)72% (78 of 108 open)56% (80 of 142 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −9 pts, n=99——
Settled positions, side won48% of 288 at avg 50¢, ROI −6%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 7% of 58)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 37% of 76)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 100)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 83% of 54)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpnhctBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $11K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $43
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $28K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161