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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| primm | qinlaoban | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (539–574, n=1113) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | -$75K | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #718 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 58% (38 of 66 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 48% (won 99% of 238) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 52% (won 99% of 262) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | qinlaoban | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.7K | Over $44K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | Buccaneers $1.5K | — | Bears $8.0K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $6.6K | Clippers $331 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $28 | — | Buccaneers $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Nets $41 | Mavericks $763 | — |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $5.8K | — | Bears $27K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $9.8K | — | Over $722 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-7.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $3.9K | Mavericks $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $3.6K | Mavericks $1.1K | — |