← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| purplegatto | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (5140–5099, n=10239) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.9M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 4375 at avg 62¢, ROI +20% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 87% of 245) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 97% of 932) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1700) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 100% of 1498) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | purplegatto | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $41K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $31K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $39K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55K | — | Yes $170K | — |
| Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | — | Yes $273 | — |