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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| segment3 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$64K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (13 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 14 at avg 82¢, ROI −8% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 50% of 2) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 100% of 11) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | segment3 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | — | Chiefs $465K | Broncos $605 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $720 | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | No $10K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $950 | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | No $40K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |