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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| slimjoe | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (5214–4960, n=10174) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | -$73K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (2 of 8 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 5175 at avg 56¢, ROI +31% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 78% of 204) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 96% of 1858) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 96% of 2093) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 99% of 1020) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | slimjoe | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $172 | Yes $274K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $219 | Yes $170K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $149 | — | — | Commanders $1.5K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $48 | No $202K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $188K | — | Commanders $3.8K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $37 | Yes $85K | — | — |