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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| supersmard | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (50–63, n=113) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $55K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #602 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (8 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (62 of 115 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 65 at avg 44¢, ROI +18% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 38% of 21) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 69% of 16) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 100% of 20) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 100% of 8) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | supersmard | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $9.3K | — | — | Yes $38K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.0K | — | — | No $24K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $7.6K | — | — | No $10K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $3.8K | — | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | No $747 |