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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2308–1925, n=4233) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (15 of 30 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $41K | Bills $387K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $8.6K | Bills $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Colts $45 | Jaguars $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $2.3K | Bills $2.1K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $33K | Raiders $240K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $24K | Raiders $105K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $3.4K | Cardinals $58K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $20K | Raiders $18K | — | — |