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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormakebeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)68% (43–20, n=63)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$986K$5.8M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #25was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus48% (23 of 48 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position50% (9 of 18 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)29% (won 56% of 62)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)54% (won 51% of 115)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)14% (won 86% of 29)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettakeormakebeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Dolphins $1.7K——Patriots $1.3K
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $4——Patriots $1.8K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $50——Rams $1.0K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $40K——Broncos $6.8K
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Rams
Chargers $22K——Chargers $1.1K
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6——Over $3.0K
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Rams $20——Rams $849
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $60——Chargers $595
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $15——Rams $4