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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tetraseBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)69% (520–236, n=756)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$971K$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #374 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus82% (101 of 123 open)78% (42 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTech ±0 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won71% of 912 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 6% of 201)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 47)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 54% of 57)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 96% of 607)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettetraseBreakTheBank
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13KYes $85K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $700Yes $38K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KNo $16K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11Yes $83K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12Yes $52K