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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tetraseBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)69% (520–236, n=756)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$973K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #374 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (99 of 121 open)72% (78 of 108 open)56% (79 of 141 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTech ±0 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won71% of 912 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 6% of 201)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 43% of 47)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 54% of 57)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 96% of 607)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettetraseBreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $11K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13KYes $77K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $695Yes $37K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KNo $21K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $20KYes $1.1K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $43
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378KBills $28K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11Yes $82K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12Yes $51K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161