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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| themagicofcinema | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (391–158, n=549) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $46K | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #635 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −6 pts, n=15 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 497 at avg 71¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 20% (won 5% of 97) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 38% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 76% of 45) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 66% (won 98% of 326) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | themagicofcinema | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $10 | No $22K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | Yes $15K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $68 | Yes $11K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $55 | Yes $11K | — |