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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiCORGIIbeachboy4primm
Record (consensus markets)45% (3528–4316, n=7844)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$435$4.5M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus61% (53 of 87 open)25% (1 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiCORGIIbeachboy4primm
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $26——Under $250
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11——Over $4
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $10——Rams $4
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
Imperial $42Imperial $7.9K——
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $61——Broncos $7.4K
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $22——Over $3.2K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $196——Buccaneers $3.0K