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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboisainttroplayCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (3528–4316, n=7844)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$435$4.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #11PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus54% (44 of 82 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)55% (12 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)0%9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)0%2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboisainttroplayCORGIIprimm
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $62——Over $3.0K
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $42——Patriots $1.8K
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $29——Rams $849
Spread: Chargers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Rams $203——Chargers $595
Spread: Rams (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3——Rams $768
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $44——Under $250
Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $70——Over $22
Spread: Patriots (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Dolphins $75——Patriots $14
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4——Over $4
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $47——Broncos $6.8K
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $126——Over $3.2K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $336——Rams $1.0K
Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Patriots $48——Patriots $1.3K
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $114——Dolphins $1.1K
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $20——Over $7