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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tradecraftRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)48% (2371–2607, n=4978)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$962K$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #156PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)63% (92 of 147 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +8 pts n=1696, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=592, ROI +4%
  • NFL +10 pts n=113, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won58% of 2593 at avg 51¢, ROI +5%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 11% of 791)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 47% of 452)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 78% of 484)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 96% of 866)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettradecraftRN1CORGII
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8No $3.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $81No $2.6K—
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2Shunsuke Mitsui $5—
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3No $15K—
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $13K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $5Lions $3.2K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $369Over $1.9K—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3No $1.9K—
Titans vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $12Titans $658—
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2No $222—