← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| tradecraft | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (2371–2607, n=4978) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $962K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #156 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | 54% (64 of 118 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 2593 at avg 51¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 11% of 791) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 47% of 452) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 78% of 484) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 96% of 866) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | tradecraft | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $43 | Cowboys $12K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $81 | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $2 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $47 | No $26K | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite same side · consensus Wilson Leite | Wilson Leite $9 | Wilson Leite $12K | — | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $30 | No $3.3K | — | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $24 | No $2.2K | — | — |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $143 | Yes $108 | — | — |