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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
tttt123CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)68% (550–258, n=808)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$11K$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus72% (63 of 87 open)25% (1 of 4 open)73% (72 of 99 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −13 pts, n=83——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1753 at avg 65¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 12% of 223)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 32% of 206)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 54% of 370)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 87% of 954)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettttt123CORGIIBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5K—No $184K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146—Yes $28K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K—Yes $4.7K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $179—Yes $4.6K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $144—No $40K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $31—No $35K