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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| vacoolaaa | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (92–44, n=136) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | -$52K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (16 of 18 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 64% (88 of 138 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −16 pts, n=60 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 187 at avg 68¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 12% of 25) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 43% of 23) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 50% of 32) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 88% of 107) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | vacoolaaa | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | Steelers $51 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | Steelers $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | Jets $255 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | Cowboys $23 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $39 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | Cowboys $611 | — |