← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| vinii | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (2624–721, n=3345) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $108K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #497 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (38 of 58 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (64 of 118 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Economy −3 pts, n=54 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 2011 at avg 57¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 16% of 649) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 52% of 148) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 280) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 96% of 934) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | vinii | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | No $184K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | Yes $82K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | Yes $39K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |