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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wagwanshawty | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (13–3, n=16) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $77K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #269 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (27 of 31 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (145 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 14 at avg 83¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 0% of 2) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 100% of 11) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wagwanshawty | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $315 | — | — | No $859K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $33K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | — | Yes $32K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | — | No $29K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $29K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | — | Yes $274K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | — | — | Yes $172K |