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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wagwanshawty | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (11–3, n=14) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | $77K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #269 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (26 of 30 open) | no open consensus position | 90% (143 of 159 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 14 at avg 83¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 0% of 2) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 79% (won 100% of 11) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wagwanshawty | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $310 | — | No $292K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $29K | — | No $202K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | Yes $85K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | Yes $34K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.3K | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $30K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | Yes $270K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | Yes $170K | — |