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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wan123 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (101–183, n=284) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13853–15337, n=29190) |
| Consensus PnL | $997K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #244 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (46 of 65 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 89% (141 of 159 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 162 at avg 57¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 100% of 18) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 100% of 53) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 100% of 39) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 100% of 52) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wan123 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $23K | — | No $250K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $224K | — | Yes $33K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $529 | — | Yes $83K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | Yes $274K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $878 | — | Yes $172K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $357 | — | Yes $30K | — |