← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| zxdfbdfgngcxv | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (1263–228, n=1491) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $72K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #851 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (41 of 48 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 88% (145 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=70 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1826 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 9% of 244) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 49% of 87) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 56% of 108) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 97% of 1387) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | zxdfbdfgngcxv | sainttroplay | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.7K | — | — | No $202K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.7K | — | — | Yes $85K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6.7K | — | — | Yes $32K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.6K | — | — | No $29K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $460 | — | — | No $114K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $480 | — | — | Yes $83K |