Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 89%
$215.66
$50.65
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 87.4¢ | $106.16 | $103.92 | -$2.24 | 64% 58895-33457 (92352) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $22.8 | $30 | +$7.2 | 55% 48790-40333 (89123) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 54.5¢ | $17.44 | $32 | +$14.56 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $7.05 | $15 | +$7.95 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.7¢ | $8.05 | $15 | +$6.95 | 51% 8396-7911 (16307) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $2.85 | $5.18 | +$2.33 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $4.43 | $9.43 | +$5 | 58% 51347-37467 (88814) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4.1 | $5.13 | +$1.03 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 112557-59402 (171959) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20368-19455 (39823) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $6.2 | — | +$7.93 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$106.16
Value
$103.92
PnL
-$2.24
Record
64%
58895-33457 (92352)
Invested
$22.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.2
Record
55%
48790-40333 (89123)
Invested
$17.44
Value
$32
PnL
+$14.56
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
Invested
$7.05
Value
$15
PnL
+$7.95
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
Invested
$8.05
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.95
Record
51%
8396-7911 (16307)
Invested
$2.85
Value
$5.18
PnL
+$2.33
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Invested
$4.43
Value
$9.43
PnL
+$5
Record
58%
51347-37467 (88814)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5.13
PnL
+$1.03
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
112557-59402 (171959)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20368-19455 (39823)
Invested
$6.2
Value
—
PnL
+$7.93
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $103.92
almach
Down — $30
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $32
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $15
ply-pm2
Down — $15
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $5.18
PBot-6
Down — $9.43
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5.13
antsaslyku
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0