Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Up 82%
$933.78
-$42.53
Smart Money Signal
10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 84.7Β’ | $304.5 | $274.19 | -$30.32 | 67% 99930-48308 (148238) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $250.66 | $250.91 | +$0.25 | 59% 62677-43754 (106431) |
TM tmsd-test | Upavg 76.2Β’ | $189.04 | $204.09 | +$15.05 | 54% 14578-12427 (27005) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 65.4Β’ | $101.13 | $91.19 | -$9.94 | 51% 8411-7930 (16341) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 71.6Β’ | $43.61 | $44.56 | +$0.95 | 64% 58907-33468 (92375) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 66.5Β’ | $64.75 | $30 | -$8.19 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | $13.64 | $18.95 | +$5.31 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 70.2Β’ | $8.35 | $11.9 | +$3.55 | 58% 38498-27579 (66077) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 93% 24319-1811 (26130) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.3Β’ | $11.77 | β | -$11.77 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.3Β’ | $7.5 | β | -$7.5 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20375-19462 (39837) |
Invested
$304.5
Value
$274.19
PnL
-$30.32
Record
67%
99930-48308 (148238)
Invested
$250.66
Value
$250.91
PnL
+$0.25
Record
59%
62677-43754 (106431)
Invested
$189.04
Value
$204.09
PnL
+$15.05
Record
54%
14578-12427 (27005)
Invested
$101.13
Value
$91.19
PnL
-$9.94
Record
51%
8411-7930 (16341)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$43.61
Value
$44.56
PnL
+$0.95
Record
64%
58907-33468 (92375)
Invested
$64.75
Value
$30
PnL
-$8.19
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Invested
$13.64
Value
$18.95
PnL
+$5.31
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
Invested
$8.35
Value
$11.9
PnL
+$3.55
Record
58%
38498-27579 (66077)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
93%
24319-1811 (26130)
Invested
$11.77
Value
β
PnL
-$11.77
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
Invested
$7.5
Value
β
PnL
-$7.5
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20375-19462 (39837)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $274.19
0x50f7
Up β $250.91
tmsd-test
Up β $204.09
ply-pm2
Up β $91.19

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $44.56
aaa221
Up β $30
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up β $18.95
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $11.9
hoodquant
Up β $8
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown β $0