Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 64%
2 arb excluded
$1.3K
-$244.93
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $771.77 | $779.57 | +$7.8 | 93% 24319-1811 (26130) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 30.9¢ | $406.19 | — | -$406.19 | 51% 8411-7930 (16341) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Upavg 51.2¢ | $83.9 | $148.59 | +$64.69 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 21.7¢ | $33.32 | $153.46 | +$120.14 | 46% 38677-45770 (84447) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $55.49 | — | -$55.49 | 54% 11314-9625 (20939) |
AA aaa221ARB<$100 | Downavg 56.6¢ | $60.91 | $40.55 | -$15.91 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 56.6¢ | $39.47 | — | -$39.47 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 38.6¢ | $15.65 | $40.55 | +$23.56 | |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Downavg 67.9¢ | $53.76 | $55 | +$1.24 | 64% 58907-33468 (92375) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.5¢ | $18.4 | $55 | +$36.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 67.9¢ | $35.36 | — | -$35.36 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 64.5¢ | $20.65 | $32 | +$11.35 | 58% 38498-27579 (66077) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 35.5¢ | $11.33 | $25.38 | +$14.05 | 61% 96050-60547 (156597) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 79.6¢ | $28.13 | — | -$28.13 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $7.4 | $24.67 | +$17.27 | 65% 126454-67593 (194047) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $3.31 | — | -$3.31 | 56% 58635-45291 (103926) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 21.8¢ | $3.6 | $16.5 | +$12.9 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20375-19462 (39837) |
Invested
$771.77
Value
$779.57
PnL
+$7.8
Record
93%
24319-1811 (26130)
Invested
$406.19
Value
—
PnL
-$406.19
Record
51%
8411-7930 (16341)
Invested
$83.9
Value
$148.59
PnL
+$64.69
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
pspspsps5Invested
$33.32
Value
$153.46
PnL
+$120.14
Record
46%
38677-45770 (84447)
Invested
$55.49
Value
—
PnL
-$55.49
Record
54%
11314-9625 (20939)
Invested
$60.91
Value
$40.55
PnL
-$15.91
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$53.76
Value
$55
PnL
+$1.24
Record
64%
58907-33468 (92375)
Both legs:
Invested
$20.65
Value
$32
PnL
+$11.35
Record
58%
38498-27579 (66077)
Invested
$11.33
Value
$25.38
PnL
+$14.05
Record
61%
96050-60547 (156597)
Invested
$28.13
Value
—
PnL
-$28.13
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
Invested
$7.4
Value
$24.67
PnL
+$17.27
Record
65%
126454-67593 (194047)
Invested
$3.31
Value
—
PnL
-$3.31
Record
56%
58635-45291 (103926)
Invested
$3.6
Value
$16.5
PnL
+$12.9
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20375-19462 (39837)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $779.57
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $148.59
pspspsps5
Up — $153.46
thesidehustle
CTRDown — $0
aaa221
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $32
asidjasiodja
Up — $25.38
asdaefef
CTRDown — $0