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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

Amed Sportif vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5

Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Under 46%

Total Value

$5.5K

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Under

7 of 14 top traders (50%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over7 traders
Total Value$4.9K
Total Shares4,934
Combined PnL+$1.6K
Under7 traders
Total Value$602.5
Total Shares6,145
Combined PnL$-2.8K
Over — 50%Under — 50%
GO
GoalLineGhost
Over

Invested

$1,888.75

Value

$2.7K

PnL

+$839.64

Record

50%

25666-25500 (51166)

fxwd12345
Over

Invested

$845.64

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$198.36

Record

69%

1526-701 (2227)

RN1
Over

Invested

$473.44

Value

$831.11

PnL

+$357.67

Record

54%

57169-49417 (106586)

UP
UpTheBluesCTR
Under

Invested

$1,517.31

Value

$602.5

PnL

-$914.81

Record

59%

46920-33175 (80095)

TO
topdogbigboi
Over

Invested

$85.62

Value

$202.78

PnL

+$117.16

Record

48%

8966-9597 (18563)

LU
LuckyLoo
Over

Invested

$63.1

Value

$106.95

PnL

+$43.85

Record

49%

13022-13588 (26610)

poshposh<$100
Over

Invested

$4.96

Value

$14.59

PnL

+$9.63

Record

58%

10670-7656 (18326)

HRTrading<$100
Over

Invested

$1.04

Value

$6.5

PnL

+$5.46

Record

53%

5640-5054 (10694)

SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

50%

33863-33445 (67308)

RO
Rocky31CTR
Under

Invested

$175.47

Value

—

PnL

-$168.46

Record

74%

1681-594 (2275)

VA
Vampiro1CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$20

Value

—

PnL

+$1.71

Record

77%

3443-1052 (4495)

VD
VD721lsj4938Dk388CTR
Under

Invested

$1,655

Value

—

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

55%

1778-1467 (3245)

RO
Rocko33CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$20

Value

—

PnL

-$20

Record

63%

1200-693 (1893)

0X
0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$36

Value

—

PnL

-$36

Record

47%

4652-5171 (9823)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x64e432be...91b89b
Slug
tur-ame-eyu-2026-11-01-total-4pt5

Traders in this Market

GO

GoalLineGhost

Over — $2.7K

+$839.64

fxwd12345

Over — $1.0K

+$198.36

RN1

Over — $831.11

+$357.67
UP

UpTheBlues

CTR

Under — $602.5

-$914.81
TO

topdogbigboi

Over — $202.78

+$117.16
LU

LuckyLoo

Over — $106.95

+$43.85

poshposh

Over — $14.59

+$9.63

HRTrading

Over — $6.5

+$5.46
SN

SnakeBall

CTR

Under — $0

-$4
RO

Rocky31

CTR

Under — $0

-$168.46
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