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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.

FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5

Resolved Over. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Under 64%

Total Value

$5.3K

Combined PnL

$-6.5K

Smart Money Signal

Under

9 of 14 top traders (64%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over100%
Under0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over5 traders
Total Value$4.1K
Total Shares4,112
Combined PnL+$63.05
Under9 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares17,392
Combined PnL$-6.6K
Over — 36%Under — 64%
0X
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540
Over

Invested

$3,039.81

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$38.73

Record

82%

27-6 (33)

FL
FlaznorpCTR
Under

Invested

$5,787.41

Value

$1.0K

PnL

$-4.8K

Record

50%

1503-1507 (3010)

CI
cigarettes
Over

Invested

$985.05

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$14.95

Record

53%

5511-4919 (10430)

GO
GoalLineGhostCTR
Under

Invested

$478.85

Value

$119.6

PnL

-$359.25

Record

56%

1533-1187 (2720)

LR
lryyy<$100
Over

Invested

$17.32

Value

$18.04

PnL

+$0.72

Record

50%

182-180 (362)

VE
Venusian<$100
Over

Invested

$2.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.2

Record

28%

278-729 (1007)

NO
NordhavenCap<$100
Over

Invested

$3.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.45

Record

5%

10-176 (186)

RN1CTR
Under

Invested

$155.61

Value

—

PnL

-$155.61

Record

58%

3802-2782 (6584)

LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$3.4

Value

—

PnL

-$3.4

Record

41%

113-161 (274)

SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100
Under

Invested

$11.17

Value

—

PnL

-$11.17

Record

48%

190-206 (396)

LI
LimousinCTR
Under

Invested

$307.74

Value

—

PnL

-$307.74

Record

28%

284-730 (1014)

dips.CTR<$100
Under

Invested

$7.87

Value

—

PnL

-$7.87

Record

42%

230-315 (545)

SE
sentrioCTR
Under

Invested

$678.28

Value

—

PnL

-$678.28

Record

34%

233-457 (690)

VeryLucky888CTR
Under

Invested

$340.3

Value

—

PnL

-$329.3

Record

51%

299-291 (590)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe24196fa...ee30a0
Slug
uwcl-im-mci-2026-11-10-total-3pt5

Traders in this Market

0X

0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540

Over — $3.1K

+$38.73
FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Under — $1.0K

$-4.8K
CI

cigarettes

Over — $1.0K

+$14.95
GO

GoalLineGhost

CTR

Under — $119.6

-$359.25
LR

lryyy

Over — $18.04

+$0.72
VE

Venusian

Over — $10

+$7.2
NO

NordhavenCap

Over — $5

+$1.45

RN1

CTR

Under — $0

-$155.61
LU

LuckyLoo

CTR

Under — $0

-$3.4
SN

SnakeBall

CTR

Under — $0

-$11.17
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