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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-Dominus-sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)70% (343–146, n=489)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$25K$4.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus90% (9 of 10 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTech −3 pts, n=11———
Settled positions, side won74% of 484 at avg 69¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 82)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 46% of 61)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 69% of 59)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 98% of 282)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-Dominus-sainttroplayBreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $7.4K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $950—No $184K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $950—Yes $77K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $690—Yes $37K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $710—No $35K—
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $308—No $102K—