Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HomeRunHazardVenusian
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (62–68, n=130)55% (201–167, n=368)51% (200–193, n=393)
Consensus PnL—-$290K$227K-$6.9K
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #322
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position29% (2 of 7 open)64% (35 of 55 open)43% (23 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
  • NBA +56 pts n=41, ROI +55%
  • Soccer +38 pts n=26, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 82 at avg 52¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)54% (won 100% of 44)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)57% (won 100% of 55)16% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)10% (won 100% of 10)21% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465HomeRunHazardVenusian
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $53K—Alejandro Tabilo $26K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Magic $58KJazz $942—
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $217Knicks $233
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Celtics $4.7KCeltics $1.2K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $93Vikings $1.9K—
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $267
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $573Pacers $550
Nets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Nets $41Nets $427
Lakers vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $169Bucks $13
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Rockets $82Rockets $3