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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | MrConsistency | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 36% (492–870, n=1362) | 65% (865–456, n=1321) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $11.1M | $19K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #989 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 73% (125 of 172 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 66% (50 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 68% of 657 at avg 39¢, ROI +24% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 33% (won 42% of 217) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 36% (won 74% of 239) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 23% (won 88% of 149) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 8% (won 98% of 52) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.