← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | akroll | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 35% (294–535, n=829) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $121K | $11.2M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #116 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 70% (39 of 56 open) | 71% (25 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=72 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 394 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 52% (won 1% of 205) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 2% (won 43% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 42% (won 96% of 167) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.