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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (428–488, n=916) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $11.0M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #617 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (67 of 113 open) | 68% (77 of 114 open) | no open consensus position | 51% (35 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Weather ±0 pts, n=772 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1348 at avg 63¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 1% of 475) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 45% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 79% of 42) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 802) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $6 | Yes $20K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $307 | Yes $4.2K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $368 | Yes $287K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $40 | No $42K | — | — |
| Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $168 | No $2.5K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $669 | No $607 | — | — |