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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)98% (46–1, n=47)75% (743–249, n=992)45% (198–245, n=443)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL$183$70K$10K-$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #748PM monthly #14PM monthly #47PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensus83% (217 of 263 open)69% (93 of 134 open)80% (16 of 20 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topicTech −1 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won84% of 119 at avg 83¢, ROI +5%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 5% of 19)31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 50% of 2)13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 100% of 97)29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641Lakers $9.7K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353Lakers $3.4K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston
opposite sides · consensus Hugo Gaston
—Hugo Gaston $908Matteo Martineau $766—
Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Tatjana Maria
—Tatjana Maria $1.1KTatjana Maria $15K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $2.4KUgo Humbert $10K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $730No $1.8K——
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-22?
same side · consensus No
No $1No $1.7K——
Sopo: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
same side · consensus Andrea Lazaro Garcia
—Andrea Lazaro Garcia $168Andrea Lazaro Garcia $347—
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $10Trail Blazers $350—